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Table 1 Main characteristics and results of the included studies

From: Prediction models for treatment response in migraine: a systematic review and meta-analysis

Study

Disorder

Intervention

Outcome

Duration

N

Res/nRes

Modality

Model

Validation

C.index

Spec (%)

Sen (%)

Feng et al. (2022)[23]

MwoA

taVNS

Reduction in VAS score by 25%

4 weeks

120

NR

rs-fMRI

SVR

10-fold-CV x 1000

prediction-outcome correlation(r) = 4.11

NR

NR

Gonzalez-Martinez et al. (2022)[24]

CM, MwoA, MwA

Anti-CGRP receptor or ligand antibody treatment

30%/50%/75% reduction

in the number of monthly headache days from baseline to months

6, 9 and 12

24/36/48weeks

712

27/131

Clinical data

RF

NR

AUC: 0.98, ACC: 0.97

NR

97

Liu et al. (2019)[12]

MwoA

Sham acupuncture treatment

Reduction in migraine days ≥ 50%

8 weeks

94

38/56

DTI

LSVM

LOO CV

ACC: 0.84

77

92

Lu et al. (2022)[25]

Migraine

NSAIDs

Reduction in VAS scores by more than 50%

12 weeks

610

326/284

Clinical data

LR, SVM, DT, MLP

10-fold-CV

AUC: 0.74

82

66

Wei et al. (2022)[37]

MwoA

NSAIDs

Reduction in VAS scores by more than 50%

NR

103

35/35

rs-fMRI

MLR, SVM

5-fold-CV

AUC: 0.90

88

83

Wei et al. (2024a)[38]

MwoA

NSAIDs

Reduction in VAS scores by more than 50%

12 weeks

96

32/32

rs-fMRI

SVM

10-fold-CV

AUC: 0.94

100

86

Wei et al. (2024b)[16]

Migraine

NSAIDs

Reduction in VAS scores by more than 50%

12 weeks

118

59/59

rs-fMRI、sMRI

RF

10-fold-CV

AUC: 0.71

65

67

Wu et al. (2022)[40]

MwoA, MwA

Sumatriptan treatment

Reduction in headache intensity from moderate or severe to none or mild

within 2 h after the intake of sumatriptan

NR

105

73/32

sMRI

Classification and regression tree

NR

ACC: 0.69

85

58

Yang et al. (2020)[39]

MwoA

Acupuncture treatment

Reduction in the number of migraine days ≥ 50%

4 weeks

41

19/22

sMRI

SVM

10-fold-CVx10

AUC: 0.79

85

73

Yin et al. (2020)[14]

MwoA

Acupuncture treatment

NR

4 weeks

106

NR

rs-fMRI

SVR

10-fold-CV

NR

NR

NR

  1. Only the AUC of the best model of each study is reported. ACC accuracy, AUC area under the curve, CM chronic migraine, CV cross-validation, DT decision tree, DTI Diffusion tensor imaging, LOO leave one out, LR logistic regression, LSVM linear support vector machine, MLP multilayer perceptron, MLR multivariable logistic regression, MwA migraine with aura, MwoA migraine without aura, NR not reported, NSAIDs nonsteroidal anti-inflammatory drugs, Res/nRes responders/non responders, RF random forest, rs-fMRI resting-state fMRI, Sen sensitivity, Spec specificity, sMRI structural magnetic resonance imaging, SVR support vector regression, SVM support vector machine, taVNS transcutaneous auricular vagus nerve stimulation, VAS: visual analogue scale